“Competitive analysis” program team
Turkey is currently in a "post-Kemalist" era, and the deepening economic, financial and political crisis can hardly be overcome. The disputed results of the referendum further deepened the polarization and confrontation in Turkish society.
With the amendments to the Turkish constitution, a transition from the present parliamentary to a presidential form of government has began in Turkey while during the process the separation of powers was largely being dismantled. President Recep Erdogan concentrates all the power, increases his influence on political life and his control over the judiciary. The replacement of traditional state institutions and of the links between them with new ones is underway.
Today, Erdogan has the full control over the armed and security forces. The process of their growing dependence of the ruling party and their Islamization is intensifying.
All the variants of Turkey's development in the near future lead to the denial of democracy in the country. There are no political forces in Turkey that can successfully prevent this.
President Erdogan shall undertake steps to accelerate the process of accumulating power resources in his hands. The persecutions of major opposition parties will be intensified. The purges of the state apparatus and the confiscation of the assets of businessmen accused of supporting terrorist organizations will continue.
Relations with the EU shall be exacerbated, and the current and expected changes in Turkey will have negative consequences particularly for Bulgaria.
The situation in Turkey will have negative impact on both EU and NATO.
Attachment: List of the confiscated Turkish companies. Updated as of 07.07.2017.
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